IMF yachepetsa zomwe zikuyembekezeredwa kuti chuma cha padziko lonse chidzakula mu 2021

Pa Okutobala 12, International Monetary Fund (IMF) idatulutsa nkhani yaposachedwa ya World Economic Outlook Report (yomwe pano imatchedwa "Lipoti"). IMF idanenanso mu "Lipoti" kuti kuchuluka kwachuma kwa chaka chonse cha 2021 kukuyembekezeka kukhala 5.9%, ndipo kuchuluka kwachuma ndi kotsika ndi 0.1 peresenti poyerekeza ndi zomwe zidanenedweratu mu Julayi. IMF ikukhulupirira kuti ngakhale chitukuko cha zachuma padziko lonse chikupitilira kuchira, zotsatira za mliri watsopano wa chibayo pa chitukuko cha zachuma ndizokhalitsa. Kufalikira mwachangu kwa delta strain kwawonjezera kusatsimikizika kwa chiyembekezo cha mliriwu, kuchepetsa kukula kwa ntchito, kukwera kwa mitengo, chitetezo cha chakudya, ndi nyengo Mavuto monga kusintha kwabweretsa mavuto ambiri kuchuma chosiyanasiyana.
"Lipotilo" likuneneratu kuti kuchuluka kwa chuma padziko lonse lapansi mu kotala lachinayi la 2021 kudzakhala 4.5% (zachuma zosiyanasiyana zimasiyana). Mu 2021, chuma cha mayiko otukuka chidzakula ndi 5.2%, kuchepa kwa 0.4% kuchokera pa zomwe zinanenedweratu mu Julayi; chuma cha misika yatsopano ndi mayiko omwe akutukuka chidzakula ndi 6.4%, kuwonjezeka kwa 0.1% kuchokera pa zomwe zinanenedweratu mu Julayi. Pakati pa mayiko akuluakulu padziko lonse lapansi, kuchuluka kwa chitukuko cha zachuma ndi 8.0% ku China, 6.0% ku United States, 2.4% ku Japan, 3.1% ku Germany, 6.8% ku United Kingdom, 9.5% ku India, ndi 6.3% ku France. "Lipotilo" likuneneratu kuti chuma cha padziko lonse lapansi chikuyembekezeka kukula ndi 4.9% mu 2022, zomwe ndi zofanana ndi zomwe zinanenedweratu mu Julayi.
Katswiri wamkulu wa zachuma wa IMF, Gita Gopinath (Gita Gopinath), adati chifukwa cha zinthu monga kusiyana kwa kupezeka kwa katemera ndi chithandizo cha mfundo, chiyembekezo cha chitukuko cha zachuma cha mayiko osiyanasiyana chasiyana, chomwe ndi vuto lalikulu lomwe likukumana ndi kuchira kwachuma padziko lonse lapansi. Chifukwa cha kusokonekera kwa maulalo ofunikira mu unyolo wopereka zinthu padziko lonse lapansi komanso nthawi yocheperako kuposa momwe amayembekezera, kukwera kwa mitengo m'maiko ambiri ndi koopsa, zomwe zimapangitsa kuti pakhale zoopsa zambiri zochira zachuma komanso zovuta kwambiri pakuyankha mfundo.


Nthawi yotumizira: Okutobala-15-2021