Mphamvu yosakwanira yoyendetsa
Kumbali imodzi, kuchokera kumalingaliro a zitsulo zazitsulo zoyambanso kupanga, zitsulo zachitsulo zimakhalabe ndi chithandizo;kumbali ina, kuchokera kumalingaliro amtengo ndi maziko, chitsulo chachitsulo chimachepetsedwa pang'ono.Ngakhale kuti zitsulo zachitsulo zidakalipobe m'tsogolomu, tiyenera kukhala tcheru kuti tisawononge kwambiri.
Kuyambira pamene msika wachitsulo unayamba kukwera pa November 19 chaka chatha, mgwirizano wa 2205 unayambiranso kuchoka pa 512 yuan / ton kufika ku 717.5 yuan / ton, kuwonjezeka kwa 40.14%.Diski yamakono ikugulitsa m'mbali mozungulira 700 yuan / toni.Kuchokera pamalingaliro amakono, kumbali imodzi, kuchokera ku zitsulo zazitsulo zoyambanso kupanga, zitsulo zachitsulo zimathandizidwabe;kumbali ina, kuchokera kumalingaliro amtengo ndi maziko, chitsulo chachitsulo chimachepetsedwa pang'ono.Kuyang'ana m'tsogolo, wolembayo amakhulupirira kuti ngakhale chitsulo chikadali ndi chithandizo champhamvu pakalipano, m'pofunika kukhala tcheru ku chiopsezo cha kuchepa kwakukulu.
kumasulidwa kwabwino kwatha
Zomwe zidapangitsa kuti chitsulo chiwonjezeke koyambirira chinali kuyambiranso koyenera kupanga ndi mphero zachitsulo komanso kufunikira kwenikweni pambuyo pa kutera komwe kukuyembekezeka.Zoyembekeza zamakono zikukhala zenizeni pang'onopang'ono.Deta ikuwonetsa kuti pa Disembala 24 chaka chatha, zitsulo zopangira zitsulo + zoyendetsa nyanja zimakwana matani 44,831,900, kuwonjezeka kwa matani 3.0216 miliyoni kuchokera mwezi watha;pa Disembala 31 chaka chatha, zitsulo zopangira zitsulo + zoyendetsa panyanja zidakwana matani 45,993,600, mwezi ndi mwezi.Kuwonjezeka kwa matani 1,161,700.Zomwe zili pamwambazi zikuwonetsa kuti njira yotsika mtengo yomwe mphero yachitsulo yakhala ikusunga kwa theka la chaka yayamba kumasula, ndipo zitsulo zazitsulo zayamba kubwezeretsanso zinthuzo.Kubwereranso ku Shugang komanso kuchotsedwa kwazinthu zamalonda koyamba kuyambira Seputembara 2021 zatsimikiziranso izi.
Ngati kuwonjezeredwa kwa chitsulocho kwatsimikiziridwa, tiyenera kuganizira zinthu ziwiri izi: Choyamba, kodi kuwonjezeredwa kwachitsulocho kudzatha liti?Chachiwiri, zitenga nthawi yayitali bwanji kuti ayambirenso kupanga kuti ziwonetsere kuyambiranso kwachitsulo chosungunuka?Pankhani ya funso loyamba, nthawi zambiri, ngati zitsulo zimangowonjezera nyumba yosungiramo katundu nthawi ndi nthawi, nthawiyo sichitha masabata atatu.Ngati kufunikira kukupitirizabe kukhala kwabwino, mphero zachitsulo zidzapitirizabe kuwonjezereka, zomwe zikuwonetsedwa mukuyenda kosalekeza kwapakati pa voliyumu ya doko, voliyumu yamalonda, ndi zitsulo zazitsulo.Pakali pano, mphero zachitsulo zimakhala ndi mwayi wowonjezeranso nkhokwe zawo pang'onopang'ono, makamaka chifukwa cha zifukwa zotsatirazi: Choyamba, chigawo chakum'mwera, chomwe chimatha kuyambiranso kupanga mosalekeza, posachedwapa chidzayambitsa kuchepetsa kugwiritsa ntchito mphamvu kwa nyengo. Januwale;Chifukwa cha kupanga kochepa m'dzinja ndi m'nyengo yozizira komanso maseŵera a Olimpiki a Zima, mphamvu yogwiritsira ntchito mphamvu sizingatheke kuwonjezeka kwambiri, ndipo palibe chikhalidwe choyambiranso kupanga;chachitatu, ku East China, yomwe ndi mphamvu yayikulu yoyambiranso kupanga, kuchuluka kwa kugwiritsa ntchito mphamvu kukuyembekezeka kuyambiranso ndi 10% -15% , Koma ngati muyang'ana pa kufananiza kopingasa, pa Chikondwerero cha Spring pazaka zambiri, kukula kwa kuyambiranso kwake kupanga akadali ochepa.Chifukwa chake, timakonda kuganiza kuti kubwezeretsedwanso kwaposachedwa ndi kuyambiranso kupanga zonse zachitika.
Ponena za funso lachiwiri, zikuyembekezeka kuti chitsulo chosungunula chidzatenga mu Januwale, kufika pamlingo wa 2.05 miliyoni mpaka matani 2.15 miliyoni patsiku.Koma popeza kuyambiranso kwa kupanga kwasinthidwa pang'onopang'ono, kubwezeredwa kwachitsulo chosungunuka m'masabata angapo otsatira sikudzakhala ndi nthawi yayitali yokwera pa disk.
Kuwerengera kwakukulu
Choyamba, kuchokera pakuwona kuwerengera, mtengo wathunthu uli kale wokwera poyerekeza ndi zofunikira.Mu kuyerekezera yopingasa, yoweyula otsiriza anayamba kuchokera malo oversold, kwa kuyembekezera kuyambiranso kwa malonda, kwa kuyembekezera replenishment mphero zitsulo, ndi kuwuka ndi kugwa kwa chitsulo chosungunula linanena bungwe anaonekera mu msika kuchokera kumapeto September mpaka kumayambiriro October chaka chatha. , pamene mtengo wa disk unali wapamwamba.Pafupifupi 800 yuan / tani.Panthawiyo, doko lachitsulo lachitsulo linali matani 128.5722 miliyoni, ndipo pafupifupi tsiku lililonse chitsulo chosungunuka chinali matani 2.2 miliyoni.Zomwe zikuchitika panopa komanso zofunikira ndizoipa kwambiri kuposa kumapeto kwa September chaka chatha.Ngakhale poganizira kuyambiranso kwa kupanga mu Januwale, zikuyembekezeredwa kuti chitsulo chosungunuka sichidzabwerera ku matani 2.2 miliyoni / tsiku.
Kachiwiri, potengera ziwerengero, maziko a mgwirizano wa 2205 nthawi zambiri amasungidwa pa 70-80 yuan/ton mu February ndi Marichi chaka chilichonse.Maziko apano a mgwirizano wa 2205 ali pafupi ndi 0, ngakhale mtengo wa malo monga ufa wapamwamba uli ndi kuwonjezeka kwa 100 yuan / tani, poganizira maziko amphamvu, chiwerengero chotsatira disk chimakhala chochepa kwambiri.Kuonjezera apo, mtengo waposachedwa wapadoko wa ufa wapadera kwambiri nthawi zambiri umakhala pafupifupi 470 yuan/ton, ndipo palibe mikhalidwe yoti ukwere kufika pa 570 yuan/ton.
Potsirizira pake, kuchokera kumaganizo a kugwirizana kwa zinthu zakuda, chifukwa cha kuthandizira kofooka kwa mitengo yazitsulo, kuchepa kwake kudzachititsanso kusintha kwachitsulo.Pakalipano, kufunikira kwa rebar mu nyengo yopuma kwakwaniritsidwa, ndipo kufunikira kwachiwonekere n'kochepa.Pankhani ya kufufuza, ngakhale kuti zosungirako za anthu zikuchepa, chiwerengero chonse cha zitsulo zazitsulo zayamba kuwonjezeka, kusonyeza kufunikira kosowa kosungirako m'nyengo yozizira.Chifukwa cha mitengo yamakono yamakono komanso kusowa chidaliro pa zofuna zamtsogolo, amalonda alibe chidwi chosungirako nyengo yozizira.Pamaso pa kukakamizidwa pansi pazitsulo, n'zoonekeratu kuti chitsulo sichingasiyidwe chokha.
Ponseponse, kukwera kwachitsulo kwachitsulo pamsika kumakhala kwakanthawi kochepa, pomwe kutsika kwapansi kumakhudza kwambiri.